A Study on the Factors Influencing the Fertility Intention of the Population in Sichuan Province, China

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.60027/ijsasr.2023.3660

Keywords:

Fertility Intention; , Influencing Factors; , Fertility Policy

Abstract

Background and Aim: In response to the increasing population and changing social environment in China, a comprehensive policy of permitting two children or three children per family has been introduced to increase the birth rate. However, despite these efforts, the birth rate has continued to decline in recent years, as evidenced by statistics from 2018 to 2021. The research aim of this study was to investigate and analyze the factors that impact fertility intention in Sichuan Province.

Materials and Methods: The population of Sichuan Province was selected as the study sample. By reviewing existing research results, a hypothesis was proposed to determine the factors that affect the birth rate. A random sampling survey method was used, and an existing data analysis software was used to analyze the collected samples using methods such as reliability, validity, and linear regression.

Results: The analysis reveals that rearing costs, social welfare, career development, and social concepts significantly influence fertility intention. Among these factors, career development, social beliefs, and social welfare emerge as important predictors of fertility intention with the highest value of descriptive statistics.  The study conducted a survey to analyze the hypothetical factors that may influence fertility intention among the population in Sichuan Province, China.

Conclusion: The findings indicate that there is a significant relationship between rearing cost, social welfare, career development, social concept, and fertility intention, thus achieving the research objectives. The results can be used as a reference for the government to develop public policies aimed at improving fertility intention and provide a research foundation for future studies.

References

Bongaarts, J. (2001). Fertility and reproductive preferences in post-transitional societies. Population and Development Review, 27, 260-281.

Bram, B. (2023). The last generation: why China’s youth are deciding against having children. Asia Society. Retrieved on January 25, 2023, from https://asiasociety.org/policy-institute/last-generation-why-chinas-youth-are-deciding-against-having-children?locale=en

Cao, Z., & Sun, Y. (2021). Analysis of the differences in regional economic development in Sichuan Province. In IPEC2021:2021 2nd Asia-Pacific Conference on Image Processing, Electronics and Computers. April 2021, 535-540. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1145/3452446.3452577

Guobao, Z. (2017). Research on the Evolution and Impact of China's Family Planning Policy. Doctoral Dissertation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics.

Jianwei, L. (2014). The influencing factors and development trends of China's Fertility Intention. Development Research, 2014 (9), 71-78. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1787/anberd-2014-30-en

Jinju, L. (2020). What is the cost of childbirth for urban women in China? Population Studies, 42 (2), 33-43.

Jun, W., & Guangzhou, W. (2022). Research on Low Fertility Intention under China's Three Child Policy and Its Policy Implications. Journal of Tsinghua University (Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition). 2022 (2), 201-217

Krejcie, R.V., & Morgan, D.W. (1970). Determining Sample Size for Research Activities. Educational and Psychological Measurement, 30 (3), 607 – 610. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/001316447003000308

Lesthaeghe, R. (2010). The unfolding story of the second demographic transition. Population and Development Review, 36 (2), 211-251. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1728-4457.2010.00328.x

Lesthaeghe, R., & Surkyn, J. (2002). New forms of household formation in Central and Eastern Europe: Are they related to newly emerging value orientations? In W. Arts, L. Halman, & J. Hagenaars (Eds.), The cultural diversity of European unity: Findings, explanations and reflections from the European Values Study (pp. 189-210). Brill.

Longjian, Y., Jianwei, C., & Yanchao, X. (2013). Has Fiscal Expenditure on Education Reduced the Fertility Intention? Economic Review, 2013 (3), 48-55.

Miller, W.B. (2011). Differences between Fertility Intentions and intentions: implications for theory, research, and policy. Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, 9, 75-98. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1553/populationyearbook2011s75

Pei, H., & Hongwei, W. (2020). Housing Prices and Fertility Post component: Evidence from the CGSS Micro Data. Journal of Finance and Economics, (04), 79-93.

Songchen, L., & Shiying, Z. (2008). Analysis of influencing factors of population Fertility Intention based on stepwise regression method. Statistics and Decision Making, 2008 (4), 7-9.

Vinh, T.V., Allenbach, M., Vu Linh, K.T., & Marchand, C. (2020). Change in leaf litter quality during its decomposition in a tropical planted mangrove forest (Can Gio, Vietnam). Frontiers Environmental Science, 8, 1-15. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2020.00010

Xianyu, C., & Dangchen, S. (2019). A Study on the Differences in Fertility Intention and Behavior among Urban Women under the Background of the "Comprehensive Two Child". Policy Chongqing Social Sciences.

Xiaotian, F. (2017) The Fertility Intention of Chinese People: How Much Do We Know Exactly. Journal of Social Sciences, 2017 (8), 59-71.

Yip, W. (2021). China: the men who are single and the women who don’t want kids. BBC News. Retrieved on May 25, 2021, from https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-57154574?locale=en

Yu, V. (2023). The last generation: the young Chinese people vowing not to have children. Support the Guardian, Retrieved on January 20, 2023, from https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jan/20/the-last-generation-young-chinese-people-vow-not-to-have-children?locale=en

Yuye, L. (2022). Research on the Impact of Family Support on the Fertility Intention of Women of Childbearing Age in Sichuan Province. Master's Thesis, Sichuan Academy of Social Sciences.

Downloads

Published

2023-10-08

How to Cite

He, H., & Boonlab, S. . (2023). A Study on the Factors Influencing the Fertility Intention of the Population in Sichuan Province, China. International Journal of Sociologies and Anthropologies Science Reviews, 3(5), 383–390. https://doi.org/10.60027/ijsasr.2023.3660